Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.243493 20.060191 23.140012 26.750567 30.860027 35.384267 40.734683
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.466024 16.274011 20.872058 26.798847 34.198096 43.089991 54.539569
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.477744 13.577128 18.934068 26.370663 36.337352 49.131889 66.679575
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.385845 11.461497 17.158670 25.575989 37.538989 53.745823 77.132495
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.103860 10.160560 16.173395 25.545131 39.543912 59.383671 89.245097
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.189929 9.207620 15.485390 25.747523 41.763084 65.371892 102.225192
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.116097 7.789051 13.840629 24.212704 41.112989 66.999745 108.858332
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.693901 7.381114 13.732050 25.053323 44.165609 74.369882 124.622881
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.423516 7.189686 13.943513 26.416446 48.150031 83.462193 143.709616
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.905121 6.441822 13.067955 25.780133 48.692443 87.030895 154.200135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.396876 5.619396 11.932024 24.517346 47.982061 88.409622 161.120503
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.280066 5.580263 12.269638 26.001718 52.267439 98.524717 183.365265
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.199715 5.629625 12.831775 28.067138 57.978570 111.842923 212.609829
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.938036 5.231381 12.442222 28.244298 60.228535 119.335030 232.466757
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.664875 4.749459 11.800612 27.820516 61.263688 124.698818 248.932295
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.405657 4.243610 11.021561 26.991504 61.378171 128.316603 262.420273
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.237270 3.934316 10.637825 26.960100 63.094267 135.079417 282.226426
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.105674 3.695262 10.380757 27.172741 65.328001 142.998237 304.766281
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.899615 3.194110 9.395443 25.561526 63.450319 142.571801 311.032795
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.837553 3.108383 9.453478 26.444076 67.159285 153.744041 341.000824
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.803402 3.102841 9.722091 27.874878 72.238271 168.106141 378.307140
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.691879 2.818196 9.185853 27.207019 72.398499 172.121854 394.719160
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.574243 2.479775 8.437299 25.881387 70.853635 172.338181 403.215732